Part 1- Explanatory Speech Planning Outline
Part 2- Explanatory Speech Speaking Outline (Powerpoint)
by J. Dan Rothwell
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Chapter 13
Argument, Reasoning, and Evidence
•
• Criteria for Reasoning and Evidence
• Credibility, Relevance, and Sufficiency
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Chapter 13
Learning Objectives
• 13.1 Practice constructing an argument that uses
sound reasoning and logical evidence.
• 13.2 Distinguish the differences in fact and fallacy
to maximize speaker credibility when
constructing a given argument.
• 13.3 Determine components of using sufficient
proof when constructing a given argument.
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An Argument: Staking Your Claim
An argument ”implicitly or explicitly presents a
claim and provides support for that claim with
reasoning and evidence” (Verlinden, 2005, p. 5).
Reasoning is the thought process of drawing
conclusions from evidence.
Evidence consists of statistics, testimony of
experts and credible sources, and verifiable
facts.
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• Michele Bachmann Speech
• John Oliver takes on opioid addiction
• John Oliver takes on media reporting of
bad “science”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/john-oliver-opioids_us_580dbdd3e4b02444efa3fefc
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• Syllogism is the basic structure of an argument
• A syllogism contains three parts:
1. A major premise
2. A minor premise
3. A conclusion
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Toulmin Structure of Argument:
Six Elements of an Argument
1. Claim – A generalization that remains to be proven
2. Grounds – Reasons to accept a claim and evidence
used to support those reasons
3. Warrant – The reasoning that links the grounds to
the claim
4. Backing – The reasons and relevant evidence
5. Rebuttal – Exceptions or refutations that diminish
the force of the claim
6. Qualifier – Degree of truth to the claim
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Identifying Elements of the Toulmin
Structure of an Argument (1 of 2)
Choose grounds, claim, warrant, & backing for
the following. Create rebuttal and qualifier.
____ Cost of higher education is skyrocketing.
____ Access to higher education is decreasing.
____ Gaining a college degree is important.
____ A college degree opens doors to careers.
____ Public higher education should be free.
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Identifying Elements of the Toulmin
Structure of an Argument (2 of 2)
Choose data (grounds), claim, warrant, & backing
for the following. Create rebuttal and qualifier.
_G__ Cost of higher education is skyrocketing.
_G__ Access to higher education is decreasing.
_W _ Gaining a college degree is important.
_B__ A college degree opens doors to careers.
_C__ Public higher education should be free.
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Criteria for Reasoning and Evidence:
Is it Fact or Fallacy?
• A fallacy is any error in reasoning and evidence that
may deceive your audience
• Three criteria for evaluating evidence and
reasoning:
1. Credibility
2. Relevance
3. Sufficiency
• Fallacies commonly occur when these criteria are
unmet
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• Credibility of evidence refers to its believability
as determined by consistency and accuracy
• Be mindful of:
– Manufactured or questionable statistics
– Biased sources
– Expert quoted out of the field
http://www.forbes.com/sites/rickferri/2013/01/10/ts-official-gurus-cant-accurately-predict-markets/
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• The number of text messages in America
• Weird and wild statistics
• One questionable statistic
• “Researchers say they’ve figured out why people
reject science, and it’s not ignorance”
http://ldsmediatalk.com/2011/02/08/how-we-use-mobile-phones/
https://www.google.com/search?q=silly+statistics&client=firefox-a&hs=VvK&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ei=TqTNUq3GN5HcoASY_4F4&ved=0CCsQsAQ&biw=1039&bih=907
https://www.sciencealert.com/researchers-say-they-ve-figured-out-why-people-reject-science-and-it-s-not-ignorance
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• A common type of fallacy is non sequitur,
meaning “it does not follow”
• Two common non sequiturs:
1. Ad hominem
2. Ad populum
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• The ad hominem fallacy is a personal attack on
the messenger to avoid the message
• Examples of the ad hominem fallacy:
–Marco Rubio Attacks Trump
– Trump attacked Nancy Pelosi, who attacked him
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-pelosi-prison-trigger-nicolle-wallace_n_5cfb02dae4b0aab91c066456
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Ad Populum Fallacy:
Arguing from Public Opinion
The ad populum
fallacy is when views
are based primarily on
popular opinion (even
if it contradicts
scientific evidence)
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Several fallacies exhibit insufficiency that involve:
• Self-selected samples
• Inadequate samples with large margins of error
• Hasty generalizations
• Correlation mistaken for causation
• False analogies
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• A random sample is a portion of the target
population chosen so that every member has
an equal chance of being selected
• Self-selected sample attracts the most
committed or motivated individuals to fill out
surveys on their own
• Example of self-selected sample results versus
random sample results
http://theconversation.com/online-polls-are-everywhere-heres-why-we-should-be-wary-before-trusting-them-88964
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/07/poll-impeach-obama-support-33-percent-109369
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Inadequate Sample:
Large Margin of Error
• A single study proves very little
• One study is insufficient to draw general
conclusions
• The margin of error is a measure of the
degree of sampling error accounted for by
imperfections in a sample selection
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Hasty Generalizations:
Arguing from Example
• Individuals make hasty
generalizations when they
jump to conclusions based
on a single or handful of
examples
• The vividness effect fallacy
is when vivid images skew
perceptions of what to
believe is true
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Inductive vs. Deductive Reasoning
(1 of 2)
Induction: Reasoning from specific observations
or instances to a generalization/conclusion
Deduction: The process of reasoning from
general premises to a certain conclusion
Do syllogisms use inductive or deductive reasoning?
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This is Sherlock Holmes in action
Analyzing Watson’s girlfriend
Showing off to a client
Does he use inductive or deductive reasoning?
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Inductive vs. Deductive Reasoning
(2 of 2)
Sherlock Holmes was wrong!
He did not use primarily deductive reasoning.
He used primarily inductive reasoning.
http://www.dinosaurtheory.com/theory.html
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Major Premise: All humorous teachers are great
teachers.
Minor Premise: Professor Hilarious Parody is a
humorous teacher.
Conclusion: Professor Hilarious Parody is a
great teacher.
This is a “valid” argument (its conclusion follows
logically from its premises). It is not a “sound”
argument, however–its premises are not all true. Why?
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Correlation Mistaken for Causation:
X Does Not Necessarily Cause Y
• Causal reasoning occurs when we see events
and infer what caused these events
• A correlation is a consistent relationship
between two variables
• Correlations suggest possible causation
• Even a perfect correlation does not mean there
is causation
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• Analogical reasoning alleges that because
two things closely resemble each other, both
should logically be viewed in similar ways
– John Oliver Employs Analogical Reasoning
• Comparing politicians to Hitler:
– Obama as Hitler
– Bush as Hitler
– Hillary Clinton as Hitler
– Donald Trump as Hitler
https://nortonsafe.search.ask.com/search?&chn=&cmpgn=&ctype=pictures&doi=&geo=en_US&guid=&o=APN11910&p2=%5EEQ%5Ech00us%5E&page=4&prt=&q=images+of+Obama+as+Hitler&tpr=10&trackId=&ver=&ots=1560040735780&imgs=1p&filter=on&imgDetail=true
https://nortonsafe.search.ask.com/search?&chn=&cmpgn=&ctype=pictures&doi=&geo=en_US&guid=&o=APN11910&p2=%5EEQ%5Ech00us%5E&page=2&prt=&q=images+of+George+W.+Bush+as+Hitler&tpr=10&trackId=&ver=&ots=1560040622321&imgs=1p&filter=on&imgDetail=true
https://nortonsafe.search.ask.com/search?&chn=&cmpgn=&ctype=pictures&doi=&geo=en_US&guid=&o=APN11910&p2=%5EEQ%5Ech00us%5E&page=4&prt=&q=images+of+Hillary+Clinton+as+Hitler&tpr=10&trackId=&ver=&ots=1560040537883&imgs=1p&filter=on&imgDetail=true
https://nortonsafe.search.ask.com/search?&chn=&cmpgn=&ctype=pictures&doi=&geo=en_US&guid=&o=APN11910&p2=%5EEQ%5Ech00us%5E&page=1&prt=&q=images+of+Donald+Trump+as+Hitler&tpr=10&trackId=&ver=&imgs=1p&filter=on&imgDetail=true
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Review of
• 13.1 Practice constructing an argument that uses
sound reasoning and logical evidence.
• 13.2 Distinguish the differences in fact and fallacy
to maximize speaker credibility when
constructing a given argument.
• 13.3 Determine components of using sufficient
proof when constructing a given argument.
Chapter 13 Learning Objectives
An Argument: Staking Your Claim
Why are Reasoning and Evidence Critical?
Syllogism: Formal Logic
The Toulmin Structure of an Argument
Credibility: Should We Believe You?
Questionable Statistics
Relevance: Does it Follow?
Ad Hominem Fallacy: Diversionary Tactic
Sufficiency: Got Enough?
Self-Selected Samples
Example: Sherlock Holmes
Deductive Reasoning as a Syllogism
False Analogy: Mixing Apples and Oranges
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